Barack Obama (D) [Incumbent]
Gallup: 45%
Likely Electoral Points: 174
M Romney (R) [Fm. Governor - Massachusetts]
Gallup: 39%
Likely Electoral Points: 181
With the swing states of CO, FL, ME (1)*, MI, MN, MO, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NC, OH, OR, PA, and VA holding 183 electoral points, this prediction is still too close to call.
*Maine and Nebraska are not winner-take-all states; I estimate all 5 delegates from Nebraska will lean GOP. 3 Maine delegates will likely lean Democrat, leaving 1 Main delegate as a swing vote.
This has been updated to reflect Mitt Romney's likely win over Rick Perry. I expect Mitt Romney to take at least three-fifths of the delegates to the Republican National Convention.
This has been updated to reflect Mitt Romney's likely win over Rick Perry. I expect Mitt Romney to take at least three-fifths of the delegates to the Republican National Convention.
